Michael Lewis

After seeing a movie that dramatizes nuclear war, they worried more about nuclear war; indeed, they felt that it was more likely to happen. The sheer volatility of people’s judgement of the odds–their sense of the odds could be changed by two hours in a movie theater–told you something about the reliability of the mechanism that judged those odds.


After seeing a movie that dramatizes nuclear war, they worried more about nuclear war; indeed, they felt that it was more likely to happen. The sheer volatility of people’s judgement of the odds–their sense of the odds could be changed by two hours in a movie theater–told you something about the reliability of the mechanism that judged those odds.

– Michael Lewis –

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